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Red86
594113.9
252230.9
382628.6
Blue42
403015.9
558825.6
582715.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766020401001208642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.0
30.431.4
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End4.8
red by 5.2
5588
#21
25.61.6
26.925.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.1
End4.8
Second
28.61.1
27.828.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End4.4
red by 12.7
4030
#17
15.91.7
17.615.9
Auto1.5
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Third
5941
#36
13.91.1
12.813.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 1.2
5827
#28
15.21.6
16.014.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed