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Red101
366334.2
252230.9
491521.3
Blue95
291023.1
293030.7
558825.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109940608012014016010195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.1
34.534.3
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End5.3
red by 3.5
30.70.1
30.930.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
Second
30.90.1
31.131.0
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End4.8
red by 5.2
5588
#21
25.60.1
25.825.7
Auto9.7
Teleop11.1
End4.8
Third
4915
#33
21.30.2
21.821.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End3.1
blue by 1.7
2910
#15
23.10.1
23.223.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End4.4