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Red102
491131.6
382628.6
420523.0
Blue90
582715.2
322326.8
408920.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112712040608010012014016010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.4
32.131.7
Auto7.2
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 4.8
26.80.1
26.826.8
Auto10.2
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Second
28.60.4
29.028.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End4.4
red by 7.8
4089
#22
20.80.1
20.820.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Third
4205
#14
23.00.4
23.523.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
red by 7.8
5827
#28
15.20.1
15.115.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End-0.1