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Red130
498020.8
472625.6
214816.3
Blue72
322016.1
612916.6
292321.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68532040608010012013072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.1
23.924.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
red by 4.5
2923
#20
21.10.6
20.320.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Second
20.81.1
19.120.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 4.2
6129
#10
16.60.5
15.916.4
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Third
2148
#25
16.31.1
14.615.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 0.1
3220
#11
16.10.5
15.415.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End1.4