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Red22
294422.9
612916.6
408211.7
Blue5
41044.6
51117.8
292618.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5232020406080100225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.8
22.820.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
red by 4.3
2926
#23
18.63.8
8.44.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End5.5
Second
6129
#10
16.62.8
10.67.8
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End2.8
red by 8.9
5111
#32
7.83.8
15.311.5
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Third
4082
#16
11.72.8
13.811.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
red by 7.1
4104
#29
4.63.8
10.36.5
Auto0.1
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed