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Red25
36938.9
214918.2
498020.8
Blue27
460816.6
378912.3
408211.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504202060801002527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.82.5
16.313.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 4.2
4608
#19
16.61.7
16.114.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.6
Second
2149
#21
18.22.5
19.817.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 5.9
3789
#31
12.31.7
14.913.2
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Third
3693
#27
8.92.5
11.08.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 2.8
4082
#16
11.71.7
11.09.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed