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Red47
294422.9
38767.8
51117.8
Blue27
607615.3
460816.6
41208.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060804727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.5
17.517.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
red by 6.2
4608
#19
16.60.4
14.414.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.6
Second
3876
#33
7.80.5
15.616.1
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 7.5
6076
#24
15.30.4
10.610.2
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
Third
5111
#32
7.80.5
9.810.2
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End1.3
blue by 0.3
4120
#28
8.00.4
5.75.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed