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Red25
378912.3
607615.3
449512.0
Blue65
594218.7
451323.9
358613.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801002565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6076
#24
15.31.6
10.28.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 8.6
23.92.5
22.525.0
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
Second
3789
#31
12.31.6
11.29.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 6.4
5942
#17
18.72.5
13.015.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Third
4495
#18
12.01.6
17.716.1
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 1.6
3586
#22
13.62.5
7.39.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsMissed18%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed