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Red52
413215.2
545028.5
292321.1
Blue49
451323.9
378912.3
36938.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646102030405060705249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.8
17.718.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 4.7
23.90.5
25.025.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
Second
2923
#20
21.10.8
14.415.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End0.5
red by 8.8
3789
#31
12.30.5
9.710.2
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Third
4132
#14
15.20.8
12.513.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 6.3
3693
#27
8.90.5
9.710.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed