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Red25
412517.6
38767.8
45799.1
Blue48
592028.5
322110.1
358613.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444320304050602548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#26
17.62.0
13.211.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End3.2
blue by 10.8
28.50.1
21.021.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.5
End4.6
Second
4579
#34
9.11.8
14.813.0
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End1.0
blue by 4.5
3586
#22
13.60.1
10.110.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
3876
#33
7.82.0
14.712.8
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 2.3
3221
#13
10.10.1
11.111.2
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed