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Red76
294422.9
214729.3
214918.2
Blue47
413215.2
51117.8
451323.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67460204060801007647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.9
27.328.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.3
red by 5.5
23.90.1
25.525.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
Second
22.90.9
19.720.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
red by 7.7
4132
#14
15.20.1
13.313.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
2149
#21
18.20.9
15.216.1
Auto7.8
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 10.5
5111
#32
7.80.1
8.98.8
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed