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Red60
292618.6
378912.3
412517.6
Blue86
371217.1
294422.9
545028.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306202040801006086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#23
18.62.5
13.115.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End5.5
blue by 10.0
28.52.5
21.023.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.7
Second
4125
#26
17.62.7
11.213.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End3.2
blue by 5.2
22.92.5
20.723.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
Third
3789
#31
12.32.5
9.411.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 4.8
3712
#15
17.12.5
13.716.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
7%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed