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Red45
214918.2
408211.7
607615.3
Blue73
612916.6
460816.6
592028.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801001204573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#21
18.20.7
16.116.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 10.3
28.52.9
21.824.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.5
End4.6
Second
6076
#24
15.30.7
12.613.2
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 1.4
4608
#19
16.62.9
14.617.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.6
Third
4082
#16
11.70.7
9.310.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 5.0
6129
#10
16.62.9
6.59.4
Auto2.1
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed