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Red83
545028.5
460816.6
472625.6
Blue28
449512.0
35757.9
214816.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71310204060801001201408328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.6
25.927.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 12.3
2148
#25
16.30.6
14.213.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.1
Second
25.61.6
21.322.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
red by 13.5
4495
#18
12.00.6
12.311.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Third
4608
#19
16.61.6
15.817.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.6
red by 8.8
3575
#30
7.90.7
9.38.6
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed