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Red66
371217.1
498020.8
451323.9
Blue63
406136.9
36938.9
358613.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60592040801006663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.6
23.824.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
blue by 13.0
36.90.4
36.436.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Second
20.80.6
17.518.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 7.2
3586
#22
13.60.4
11.011.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
3712
#15
17.10.6
17.317.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.1
red by 8.2
3693
#27
8.90.4
10.410.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed