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Red97
406136.9
592028.5
41208.0
Blue86
159523.3
294422.9
371217.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9870204060801201401609786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.1
36.736.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 13.6
23.30.1
22.923.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Second
28.50.1
28.328.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.5
End4.6
red by 5.6
22.90.1
22.522.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
Third
4120
#28
8.00.1
7.87.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 9.1
3712
#15
17.10.1
16.716.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.1