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Red107
406136.9
592028.5
41208.0
Blue96
159523.3
294422.9
371217.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99702040608012014010796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.3
36.837.1
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 13.6
23.30.3
23.023.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Second
28.50.3
28.428.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.5
End4.6
red by 5.6
22.90.3
22.622.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End5.0
Third
4120
#28
8.00.4
7.98.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 9.1
3712
#15
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.1