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Red93
545028.5
214729.3
449512.0
Blue96
498020.8
472625.6
214816.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8767204060801001201409396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.1
28.828.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.3
red by 3.8
25.60.3
25.425.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
Second
28.50.1
28.028.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 7.7
20.80.3
20.620.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.5
Third
4495
#18
12.00.1
11.511.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 4.2
2148
#25
16.30.3
16.116.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.1