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Red60
12523.7
5820.8
568725.3
Blue12
50910.2
346717.1
16618.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102980501502002503006012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.6
27.125.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End6.1
red by 6.6
166
#8
18.76.0
22.216.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End3.4
Second
125
#1
23.71.6
23.922.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End3.0
red by 6.5
3467
#20
17.16.0
28.622.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.3
End4.8
Third
58
#15
20.81.6
23.121.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End2.4
red by 10.6
509
#19
10.26.0
15.39.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
35%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed