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Qual 132016 Week 0
Red5
107312.0
346717.1
17297.7
Blue75
8818.2
16618.7
31923.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59960150200250300350400575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#20
17.15.4
22.6→17.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.3
End4.8
blue by 6.1
319
#2
23.32.5
20.8→23.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End4.7
Second
1073
#14DQ
12.05.4
17.4→12.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 6.7
166
#8
18.72.5
16.2→18.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End3.4
Third
1729
#17DQ
7.75.4
8.9→3.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 10.5
88
#16
18.22.5
15.7→18.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed65%Capture oddsMissed