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Qual 152016 Week 0
Red65
15717.2
568725.3
151923.7
Blue60
11539.7
105823.9
5820.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112920501502002503003504006560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#7
25.30.2
25.5→25.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End6.1
red by 1.4
1058
#6
23.90.7
24.6→23.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Second
1519
#13
23.70.2
23.9→23.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 2.9
58
#15
20.80.7
21.5→20.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End2.4
Third
157
#10
17.20.2
17.4→17.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 7.5
1153
#22
9.70.7
10.4→9.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed51%Capture oddsMissed