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Qual 82016 Week 0
Red40
50910.2
11539.7
50119.4
Blue55
16618.7
17297.7
7821.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7512201002003004004055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#12
19.41.9
17.1→15.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End2.5
blue by 2.2
78
#4
21.61.0
20.3→19.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Second
509
#19
10.21.9
17.2→15.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 8.5
166
#8
18.71.0
23.2→22.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End3.4
Third
1153
#22
9.71.9
17.8→15.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.4
red by 2.0
1729
#17
7.71.0
15.4→14.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed45%Capture oddsMissed