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Red117
590329.1
70639.3
53720.3
Blue167
220232.9
310236.8
585530.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107125050150200250117167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#5
39.30.1
39.239.3
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End9.9
red by 2.5
36.80.5
36.336.8
Auto10.3
Teleop22.0
End4.5
Second
5903
#13
29.10.1
29.029.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.9
End4.8
blue by 3.8
2202
#17
32.90.5
32.432.9
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Third
537
#26
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2
blue by 10.5
5855
#23
30.80.6
30.230.8
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6