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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Wisconsin Regional
Red124
341834.7
125935.8
514828.4
Blue109
282634.9
130627.1
219436.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124124100110120130140150124109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.0
36.536.4
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End6.6
blue by 0.5
2194
#11
36.30.3
36.836.6
Auto12.7
Teleop15.9
End7.7
Second
34.70.1
35.435.4
Auto9.9
Teleop20.0
End4.7
blue by 0.2
2826
#25
34.90.3
35.435.1
Auto7.7
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Third
5148
#15
28.40.0
29.129.0
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End5.0
red by 1.4
27.10.3
27.527.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9