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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Wisconsin Regional
Red156
220232.9
310236.8
585530.8
Blue107
93031.9
249826.4
235829.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231086080140160180200220156107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#2
36.80.2
35.8→36.0
Auto10.3
Teleop22.0
End4.5
red by 4.9
930
#12
31.90.0
32.0→32.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.3
Second
2202
#17
32.90.2
31.9→32.1
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End6.0
red by 3.3
2358
#28
29.60.0
29.8→29.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.7
End4.0
Third
5855
#23
30.80.2
29.7→29.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 4.3
2498
#7
26.40.0
26.6→26.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End4.8