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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Wisconsin Regional
Red122
173233.1
171439.4
319723.8
Blue105
19230.4
206236.2
424124.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191136080100140160180122105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End9.3
red by 3.1
36.20.2
36.436.2
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End5.3
Second
1732
#10
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto7.6
Teleop20.4
End5.0
red by 2.6
192
#30
30.40.2
30.630.4
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End3.4
Third
3197
#29
23.80.0
23.823.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End5.1
blue by 1.1
4241
#41
24.90.2
25.224.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.0