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Qual 112016 Wisconsin Regional
Red65
509623.5
207729.2
171617.9
Blue73
139624.6
453125.4
171439.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597302040801001201406573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2077
#20
29.20.5
27.1→27.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End4.9
blue by 10.2
1714
#3
39.40.4
29.9→30.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End9.3
Second
5096
#34
23.50.7
15.7→16.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
blue by 1.9
4531
#37
25.40.4
23.4→23.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
1716
#44
17.90.7
16.2→16.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
blue by 6.7
1396
#22
24.60.4
15.7→16.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed