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Red98
590329.1
341834.7
605820.8
Blue115
603824.2
478627.3
70639.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5370020408010012014016098115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.74.9
24.028.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.0
End4.7
blue by 4.7
706
#5
39.34.0
30.134.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End9.9
Second
5903
#13
29.14.9
16.421.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.9
End4.8
red by 1.8
4786
#31
27.34.0
19.523.5
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End3.8
Third
6058
#46
20.84.9
13.718.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End3.7
blue by 3.3
6038
#35
24.23.5
24.220.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed