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Qual 342016 Wisconsin Regional
Red69
555215.1
93031.9
109125.8
Blue119
603824.2
125935.8
179216.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706405010015020025069119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#12
31.90.1
29.9→30.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.3
blue by 4.0
1259
#1
35.82.4
31.1→33.4
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End6.6
Second
1091
#24
25.80.1
23.9→24.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.3
red by 1.7
6038
#35
24.23.9
19.1→23.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Third
5552
#51
15.10.2
13.5→13.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 1.6
1792
#50
16.73.9
13.3→17.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed