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Qual 362016 Wisconsin Regional
Red80
219436.3
130627.1
139624.6
Blue113
341834.7
173233.1
253029.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70915010015080113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#11
36.31.0
26.7→27.7
Auto12.7
Teleop15.9
End7.7
red by 1.7
3418
#8
34.73.1
31.9→34.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Second
1306
#9
27.11.0
24.7→25.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
blue by 6.0
1732
#10
33.11.8
30.2→32.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.4
End5.0
Third
1396
#22
24.60.6
19.8→20.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End8.3
blue by 4.7
2530
#4
29.33.1
23.3→26.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned