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Red76
603824.2
606421.8
585530.8
Blue77
359621.3
514828.4
257424.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63710501001507677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5855
#23
30.81.5
21.923.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 2.3
5148
#15
28.40.6
27.528.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End5.0
Second
6038
#35
24.21.5
23.124.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.3
End3.8
blue by 0.1
2574
#33
24.31.0
19.921.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Third
6064
#36
21.81.5
17.318.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.3
red by 0.5
3596
#16
21.31.0
20.421.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed