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Qual 452016 Wisconsin Regional
Red112
93031.9
282634.9
585530.8
Blue102
220232.9
478627.3
206236.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88814060100120140112102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#25
34.92.5
32.0→34.5
Auto7.7
Teleop20.9
End6.3
blue by 1.3
2062
#6
36.22.5
31.4→33.8
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End5.3
Second
930
#12
31.91.5
29.2→30.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.3
blue by 1.0
2202
#17
32.91.5
23.7→25.2
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Third
5855
#23
30.82.5
23.4→25.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 3.5
4786
#31
27.31.5
24.7→26.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed