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Red65
171617.9
109125.8
359621.3
Blue68
558622.1
310236.8
250624.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7072506080906568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#24
25.80.2
24.624.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.3
blue by 11.0
36.80.1
34.434.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.0
End4.5
Second
3596
#16
21.30.3
21.421.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End3.3
blue by 3.6
2506
#14
24.90.1
16.916.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Third
1716
#44
17.90.3
22.021.6
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
blue by 4.1
5586
#27
22.10.1
18.017.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed