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Red121
42479.6
171439.4
19230.4
Blue76
597625.2
500319.3
555215.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7550020406010012014012176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.42.5
32.434.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End9.3
red by 14.1
5976
#32
25.22.6
21.724.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
192
#30
30.42.5
26.729.2
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End3.4
red by 11.1
5003
#40
19.32.6
17.319.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.6
Third
4247
#53
9.64.1
9.813.9
Auto0.9
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 5.5
5552
#51
15.12.6
13.516.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed