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Red88
253029.3
359621.3
597625.2
Blue84
373425.6
509623.5
590329.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75740501001502002503003504008884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.1
27.027.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
red by 0.2
5903
#13
29.10.8
25.426.3
Auto7.4
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Second
5976
#32
25.20.1
24.324.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.7
blue by 0.3
3734
#18
25.60.8
23.324.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.3
Third
3596
#16
21.30.1
21.121.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End3.3
blue by 2.3
5096
#34
23.50.8
23.023.8
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed