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Red89
257424.3
109125.8
70639.3
Blue83
206236.2
167539.1
42479.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8886506070801001101201308983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#5
39.30.2
38.738.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End9.9
red by 0.2
1675
#19
39.10.1
36.436.3
Auto12.1
Teleop21.3
End5.7
Second
1091
#24
25.80.2
24.424.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.3
blue by 10.4
36.20.1
33.833.7
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End5.3
Third
2574
#33
24.30.4
22.222.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End4.0
red by 14.7
4247
#53
9.60.1
13.913.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed