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Red72
453125.4
171617.9
257424.3
Blue95
219436.3
179216.7
590329.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707065758085907295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#37
25.40.0
24.224.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.5
End3.4
blue by 10.9
2194
#11
36.32.8
28.331.1
Auto12.7
Teleop15.9
End7.7
Second
2574
#33
24.30.1
22.622.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End4.0
blue by 4.8
5903
#13
29.12.8
26.329.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Third
1716
#44
17.90.1
20.820.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
red by 1.3
1792
#50
16.72.8
13.216.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned