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Red90
139624.6
555215.1
590329.1
Blue84
338123.0
220232.9
606421.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68744060801001209084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#13
29.10.8
29.129.9
Auto7.4
Teleop16.9
End4.8
blue by 3.8
2202
#17
32.90.9
29.029.9
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Second
1396
#22
24.60.5
23.423.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End8.3
red by 1.6
3381
#39
23.01.3
21.522.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Third
5552
#51
15.10.8
14.615.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 6.7
6064
#36
21.81.3
20.321.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed