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Red89
167539.1
359621.3
130627.1
Blue81
555215.1
282634.9
173233.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7479506070901001108981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#19
39.11.4
35.737.0
Auto12.1
Teleop21.3
End5.7
red by 4.2
2826
#25
34.90.5
33.033.6
Auto7.7
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Second
27.11.9
18.720.6
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
blue by 6.0
1732
#10
33.10.4
28.528.9
Auto7.6
Teleop20.4
End5.0
Third
3596
#16
21.31.9
17.919.8
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End3.3
red by 6.2
5552
#51
15.10.5
14.815.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed