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Red81
585530.8
480416.1
424124.9
Blue100
171439.4
605820.8
130627.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608820408010012014081100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5855
#23
30.81.8
25.827.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End3.6
blue by 8.6
39.41.2
36.738.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End9.3
Second
4241
#41
24.91.8
23.325.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.0
blue by 2.1
27.11.6
25.727.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
Third
4804
#49
16.11.8
13.114.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
blue by 4.7
6058
#46
20.81.6
19.220.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed