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Red78
257424.3
19230.4
622317.6
Blue86
93031.9
478627.3
480416.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7375204060801001207886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#30
30.40.4
30.130.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End3.4
blue by 1.5
930
#12
31.90.9
31.132.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.3
Second
2574
#33
24.30.6
24.425.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End4.0
blue by 3.0
4786
#31
27.30.9
26.427.3
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End3.8
Third
6223
#43
17.60.6
17.017.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 1.5
4804
#49
16.11.2
14.916.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed