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Red117
250624.9
219436.3
220232.9
Blue81
514828.4
70639.3
577315.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8987708010011012011781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#11
36.32.7
34.136.8
Auto12.7
Teleop15.9
End7.7
blue by 3.0
706
#5
39.30.3
39.839.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End9.9
Second
2202
#17
32.92.1
29.931.9
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End6.0
red by 4.5
5148
#15
28.40.3
29.329.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End5.0
Third
2506
#14
24.92.7
22.224.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 9.3
5773
#45
15.60.4
16.015.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed