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Red67
571026.6
362057.4
606526.3
Blue102
400346.0
8532.2
150227.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11510705015020067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#15
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
red by 11.4
4003
#20
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
Second
5710
#21
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 5.6
85
#16
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Third
6065
#11
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
blue by 0.8
1502
#12
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds15%Capture odds