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Red90
438132.2
118824.2
335744.7
Blue130
387530.2
276753.0
240525.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103113020030040090130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#29
44.70.0
44.744.7
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
blue by 8.2
53.00.0
53.053.0
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
4381
#35
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
red by 2.0
3875
#10
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End3.6
Third
1188
#27
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8
blue by 1.1
2405
#33
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds13%Capture odds