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Red59
90438.3
7440.1
150227.1
Blue135
191851.6
8532.2
277149.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10314305020025030035059135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#26
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
blue by 11.4
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
904
#34
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End11.9
blue by 10.7
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
Third
1502
#12
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
blue by 5.1
85
#16
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
26%Capture odds80%Capture odds