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Red102
205440.1
557418.7
335744.7
Blue124
85846.3
277149.0
606526.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103129050150200250300102124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#29
44.70.0
44.744.7
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
blue by 4.3
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
Second
2054
#31
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
blue by 6.2
858
#13
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
Third
5574
#14
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 7.6
6065
#11
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
48%Capture odds50%Capture odds