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Red75
557418.7
357237.8
118824.2
Blue42
207528.3
400346.0
592720.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801010501502002503003504007542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
blue by 8.2
4003
#20
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
Second
1188
#27
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8
blue by 4.0
2075
#32
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
Third
5574
#14
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 2.0
5927
#25
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach odds62%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds4%Capture odds