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Red71
547320.2
438132.2
598039.2
Blue85
557418.7
606526.3
14135.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97800501502007185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#18
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
red by 3.7
141
#4
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Second
4381
#35
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
red by 5.8
6065
#11
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
Third
5473
#23
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.3
red by 1.5
5574
#14
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
27%Capture odds2%Capture odds