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Red107
426531.6
384434.7
541821.9
Blue135
450531.8
495432.6
265536.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101139050200250300350107135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 1.3
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 1.0
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 9.9
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1