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Red97
261441.9
999915.6
384434.7
Blue89
326034.9
426531.6
541821.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96900501502002509789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 7.0
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 3.1
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 6.3
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach odds77%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds3%Capture odds